Bitcoin is extending lower, hitting US$33.5KMore on Japan PM saying will ban Russian oil “in principle”ECB’s Rehn wants a July rate hike – wants rates at zero by autumnUSD/CNY traded to the lowest for the onshore yuan since November of 2020PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.6899 (vs. estimate at 6.6950)Japan’s PM Kishida says will take steps to phase out imports of Russian oil over timeJapan – Jibun Bank/Markit April Services PMI (final) 50.7Two Chinese Coast Guard ships are reportedly in Japanese territorial watersNZD/USD view for the week ahead – support & resistance levels, Trend appears lower,Bank of Japan Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting on March 17 and 18Japanese March 2022 real wages -0.2% y/yUS President Biden is to speak on inflation on TuesdayMorgan Stanley Research maintains its bearish bias on NZD. Short NZD/CAD.China trade data due today – preview (exports expected to take a hit due to COVID-19)Weekend – China Premier Li Keqiang warns of ‘grave’ jobs situationUS equity index futures have opened lower to kick off the new weekAustralian union movement seeking an increase to the national minimum wage citing high CPIUpdated view for AUD/USD: To 0.74 and higher in weeks/months aheadUk to increase tariffs on imports of platinum, palladium from Russia and BelarusSaudi Aramco has lowered its oil price, cut from record levelsAsian market holidays on Monday 9 May 2022 – Hong Kong is closedTrade ideas thread – Monday 09 May 2022NZD traders – Fonterra revise thier 2021/22 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range lowerWeekend – Shanghai is tightening its COVID-19 lockdownUS, EU & G7 impose additional sanctions targeting RussiaMonday morning open levels – indicative forex rates – 09 May 2022A novel take on the low-rate trapNewsquawk week ahead: Highlights include US CPI, China CPI, UK GDPECB’s Holzmann says two or even three steps to hikes would be appropriate this yearChina’s central bank to launch facility to assist transport, logistics & storage sectorsEuropean Union making a last-ditch attempt to save the Iran nuclear deal, break deadlockFirms are struggling to re-open factories in Shanghai
The
lead in to Asia was a weak
Friday (and indeed week) for US stocks. US stock index futures
slipped further again during the session here (i.e. Sunday evening US
trade on Globex). The
combined weight of Federal Reserve (and other central banks) raising
rates, high consumer price inflation, economic slowdown, and persistent
lockdowns in China are combining to send ‘risk’ lower.
In
the FX space the USD strengthened during the session across the
majors board. Yen, CHF, AUD, EUR, GBP, CAD, NZD – all have lost
ground on the session here today against the US$. Gold, too, is lower. Crypto has continued its decline. ETH is under USD2500 while BTC/USD dropped under 33K at one stage (its slightly above that as I post)., its lowest since around July last year.
Onshore
yuan was set (reference rate) more than 560 points lower against the USD today (that is, USD/CNY more 560 pts higher). As it began trading USD/CNY rose to above 6.71, the lowest for onshore yuan since November 2020.
Oil
Dropped also but as I post has staged a comeback. There are posts above on continued efforts to make progress on getting Iran back into the nuclear deal and on Saudi Aramco cutting prices for June.